Forecast National Fire Danger Rating System indexes

Forecast for 13:00 2016-09-28

**Local agency personnel should contact MIFC Fire Intelligence if errors or omissions are observed.**

Station WS Woody FM Herb. FM 1-Hr FM 10-Hr FM 100-Hr FM 1000-Hr FM MSGC IC SC ERC BI SL Rating
Agassiz 4 177 173 11 14 21 22 7G1P3 4 2 14 14 5 High
7L1P3 6 18 1 14 2 Low
7Q1P3 3 2 18 16 3 Moderate
Badoura 7 152 106 11 14 19 20 7G1P3 7 4 21 23 5 High
7J1P3 8 9 82 63 2 Low
7L1P3 2 3 0 3 1 Low
7Q1P3 4 3 17 19 2 Low
Baudette 5 193 141 11 13 23 24 7G1P3 5 2 10 13 5 High
7J1P3 7 7 64 49 3 Moderate
7L1P3 1 1 0 2 1 Low
7Q1P3 3 2 14 13 2 Low
Bigstone 9 162 115 9 11 18 21 7G1P3 12 5 21 26 5 High
7L1P3 3 3 0 3 1 Low
Brainerd 7 200 150 11 13 18 26 7E1P3 5 3 9 14 2 Low
7G1P3 5 3 10 15 5 High
7L1P3 1 1 0 1 1 Low
7Q1P3 3 2 15 16 2 Low
Camp Ripley/Little Falls 5 180 140 12 14 18 23 7G1P3 4 2 15 16 5 High
7J1P3 5 7 72 51 2 Low
7L1P3 1 1 0 1 1 Low
7Q1P3 2 2 15 14 2 Low
Station WS Woody FM Herb. FM 1-Hr FM 10-Hr FM 100-Hr FM 1000-Hr FM MSGC IC SC ERC BI SL Rating
Carlos Avery 6 191 143 13 20 19 24 7G1P3 3 3 10 14 5 High
7L1P3 0 0 0 1 1 Low
7N1P3 2 7 5 16 1 Low
7Q1P3 2 2 10 13 2 Low
Cass Lake 6 157 109 11 13 20 20 7C1P3 3 1 3 5 3 Moderate
7G1P3 6 3 19 21 1 Low
7N1P3 5 14 10 29 3 Moderate
7Q1P3 4 3 17 17 1 Low
Detroit Lakes 7 149 95 10 14 19 19 7G1P3 9 5 22 25 5 High
7L1P3 11 41 2 22 3 Moderate
7Q1P3 8 7 22 31 3 Moderate
Ely 6 200 150 11 13 26 27 7G1P3 5 3 4 9 2 Low
7I1P3 7 12 82 71 2 Low
7Q1P3 3 2 11 13 1 Low
Hibbing 8 183 135 12 18 23 23 7G1P3 5 4 10 17 5 High
7J1P3 7 10 52 53 2 Low
7L1P3 1 1 0 1 1 Low
7Q1P3 3 3 11 15 2 Low
Kittson 3 164 119 10 14 20 21 7E1P3 5 2 10 11 1 Low
7G1P3 5 2 17 15 5 High
7L1P3 1 2 0 2 1 Low
7Q1P3 3 1 16 13 2 Low
Station WS Woody FM Herb. FM 1-Hr FM 10-Hr FM 100-Hr FM 1000-Hr FM MSGC IC SC ERC BI SL Rating
Litchfield 7 200 150 11 12 18 27 7G1P3 6 3 9 14 5 High
7L1P3 1 1 0 1 1 Low
7N1P3 4 8 10 23 2 Low
MN Valley 7 177 118 11 12 17 22 7E1P3 6 3 10 16 2 Low
7G1P3 5 4 17 20 5 High
7N1P3 3 9 9 23 2 Low
7Q1P3 3 3 18 18 3 Moderate
Moose Lake 10 177 141 12 18 21 22 7E1P3 6 5 8 16 2 Low
7G1P3 6 5 13 20 5 High
7L1P3 1 1 0 1 1 Low
7Q1P3 3 4 12 17 2 Low
Mora 6 200 150 13 19 20 25 7G1P3 3 3 8 13 5 High
7L1P3 3 18 1 9 1 Low
7Q1P3 2 3 12 15 2 Low
Redstn 10 149 101 9 10 16 19 7G1P3 13 7 26 32 5 High
7L1P3 18 72 2 32 3 Moderate
Rice Lake 9 200 150 12 18 21 28 7G1P3 5 4 4 11 5 High
7L1P3 1 1 0 1 1 Low
7N1P3 3 11 6 21 1 Low
7Q1P3 3 3 10 15 2 Low
Station WS Woody FM Herb. FM 1-Hr FM 10-Hr FM 100-Hr FM 1000-Hr FM MSGC IC SC ERC BI SL Rating
Roseau 3 162 107 11 14 20 21 7E1P3 5 2 11 12 1 Low
7G1P3 5 2 18 16 5 High
7L1P3 2 2 0 2 1 Low
7Q1P3 3 2 16 13 2 Low
Seagull Lake 7 200 150 11 13 25 25 7G1P3 5 3 7 13 2 Low
7I1P3 7 13 93 80 2 Low
7Q1P3 3 2 12 14 2 Low
Sherburne 5 200 150 13 19 20 28 7E1P3 3 2 7 10 2 Low
7G1P3 3 2 4 8 5 High
7N1P3 2 5 5 14 1 Low
7Q1P3 1 2 9 11 2 Low
St. Croix 10 200 150 12 18 21 27 7G1P3 6 5 6 14 1 Low
7J1P3 8 12 48 57 2 Low
7L1P3 1 1 0 1 1 Low
7Q1P3 3 3 11 16 2 Low

Definitions

MSGC

Indicates the fuel model, slope class, grass type, and climate class. For example, 7L1P3 indicates the 1978 version of the fuel model L, slope class 1, perennial grass, and climate class 3.

Wind Speed (WS)

Wind speed measured at a height of 20 feet, averaged over a 10-minute period.

Woody Fuel Moisture (Woody FM)

Fuel moisture in live woody vegetation.

Herbaceous Fuel Moisture (Herb. FM)

Fuel moisture in live herbaceous vegetation.

Ignition Component (IC)

Ignition Component relates the probability that a fire requiring suppression action will result if a firebrand is introduced into a fine fuel complex. The ignition component can range from 0 when conditions are cool and damp, to 100 on days when the weather is dry and windy. Theoretically, on a day when the ignition component registers a 60, approximately 60% of all fire brands that come into contact with wildland fuels will require suppression action.

Spread Component (SC)

Spread Component (SC) is the forward rate of spread at the head of the fire in feet per minute in a given fuel model. The inputs required to calculate the SC are wind speed, slope, fine fuel moisture (including the effects of green herbaceous plants), and the moisture content of the foliage and twigs of living, woody plants.

Energy Release Component (ERC)

Energy Release Component is a calculated field which provides a relative index of the amount of heat (in BTUs) per unit area (ft2) within the flaming front at the head of a fire. The ERC is very sensitive to fuel model characteristics - loading, compaction, particle size, heat of combustion and mineral content. The condition of the larger fuels has a greater influence on the ERC than the finer fuels. The scale for ERC values is open ended.

Burning Index (BI)

Burning Index relates the potential amount of effort needed to contain a single fire in a particular fuel type. Dividing Burning Index by 10 gives an approximate estimate of flame length in feet at the head of a fire. Burning Index is fuel model dependent.

1/10/100/1000-Hour Fuel Moisture

Dead fuel moisture content in fuel that takes the given number of hours to lose or gain 63% of the difference between the dead fuel itself and the surrounding atmosphere.

Staffing Level (SL)