Forecast National Fire Danger Rating System indexes

Forecast for 13:00 2017-05-25

**Local agency personnel should contact MIFC Fire Intelligence if errors or omissions are observed.**

Station WS Woody FM Herb. FM 1-Hr FM 10-Hr FM 100-Hr FM 1000-Hr FM MSGC IC SC ERC BI SL Rating
Agassiz 16 104 60 9 11 16 18 7G1P3 19 16 27 49 5 High
7L1P3 17 72 2 27 3 Moderate
7Q1P3 19 30 29 67 3 Moderate
Badoura 12 135 111 10 13 18 21 7G1P3 12 8 20 31 5 High
7J1P3 14 17 87 85 3 Moderate
7L1P3 3 3 0 3 1 Low
7Q1P3 7 6 18 26 3 Moderate
Baudette 13 98 50 9 10 16 17 7G1P3 19 13 31 47 5 High
7J1P3 19 19 115 104 5 High
7L1P3 20 86 2 32 3 Moderate
7Q1P3 19 26 33 67 4 Moderate
Bigstone 16 173 175 10 13 18 22 7G1P3 12 9 17 30 5 High
7L1P3 2 1 0 2 1 Low
Brainerd 11 172 162 11 14 18 22 7E1P3 9 5 10 19 2 Low
7G1P3 8 6 17 24 5 High
7L1P3 1 1 0 1 1 Low
7Q1P3 5 4 16 21 2 Low
Camp Ripley/Little Falls 11 193 202 10 14 19 24 7G1P3 9 5 13 20 5 High
7J1P3 14 15 73 75 3 Moderate
7L1P3 1 1 0 2 1 Low
7Q1P3 6 4 16 20 2 Low
Station WS Woody FM Herb. FM 1-Hr FM 10-Hr FM 100-Hr FM 1000-Hr FM MSGC IC SC ERC BI SL Rating
Carlos Avery 9 186 179 10 14 18 23 7G1P3 8 4 15 20 5 High
7L1P3 1 1 0 2 1 Low
7N1P3 5 12 9 26 2 Low
7Q1P3 5 3 16 19 2 Low
Cass Lake 12 70 10 10 12 18 20 7C1P3 14 16 8 29 5 High
7G1P3 13 12 23 40 2 Low
7N1P3 13 77 15 77 5 High
7Q1P3 14 31 29 69 3 Moderate
Detroit Lakes 16 123 78 10 12 17 19 7G1P3 16 14 25 44 5 High
7L1P3 12 45 1 20 2 Low
7Q1P3 14 20 24 52 3 Moderate
Ely 8 70 9 9 11 17 21 7G1P3 15 8 22 33 3 Moderate
7I1P3 15 17 160 114 3 Moderate
7Q1P3 17 21 33 61 4 Moderate
Hibbing 10 116 89 11 14 18 21 7G1P3 9 7 18 29 5 High
7J1P3 10 13 79 73 3 Moderate
7L1P3 5 18 1 9 1 Low
7Q1P3 7 10 19 33 3 Moderate
Kittson 15 103 52 9 11 17 18 7E1P3 22 17 16 40 3 Moderate
7G1P3 18 15 28 48 5 High
7L1P3 18 81 2 29 3 Moderate
7Q1P3 18 29 30 67 3 Moderate
Station WS Woody FM Herb. FM 1-Hr FM 10-Hr FM 100-Hr FM 1000-Hr FM MSGC IC SC ERC BI SL Rating
Litchfield 11 180 183 10 13 18 23 7G1P3 10 5 16 23 5 High
7L1P3 2 1 0 2 1 Low
7N1P3 8 19 10 34 2 Low
MN Valley 8 180 187 10 14 18 23 7E1P3 7 3 10 15 2 Low
7G1P3 7 4 16 19 5 High
7N1P3 5 10 9 24 2 Low
7Q1P3 4 3 16 18 2 Low
Moose Lake 8 173 187 11 14 18 22 7E1P3 7 3 10 15 2 Low
7G1P3 6 4 17 20 5 High
7L1P3 1 1 0 1 1 Low
7Q1P3 4 3 16 18 2 Low
Mora 9 174 182 10 14 18 22 7G1P3 8 4 17 21 5 High
7L1P3 1 1 0 2 1 Low
7Q1P3 5 3 17 19 2 Low
Redstn 15 197 207 10 12 20 25 7G1P3 11 7 12 23 5 High
7L1P3 1 1 0 2 1 Low
Rice Lake 9 180 186 11 14 19 23 7G1P3 6 4 14 19 5 High
7L1P3 1 1 0 1 1 Low
7N1P3 4 12 8 25 2 Low
7Q1P3 4 3 15 18 2 Low
Station WS Woody FM Herb. FM 1-Hr FM 10-Hr FM 100-Hr FM 1000-Hr FM MSGC IC SC ERC BI SL Rating
Roseau 15 99 47 9 10 16 17 7E1P3 23 18 17 41 3 Moderate
7G1P3 19 15 31 51 5 High
7L1P3 19 85 2 31 3 Moderate
7Q1P3 19 30 32 71 3 Moderate
Seagull Lake 7 70 8 8 9 17 22 7G1P3 14 7 21 30 3 Moderate
7I1P3 14 15 165 110 3 Moderate
7Q1P3 17 19 35 60 4 Moderate
Sherburne 9 183 188 10 14 18 23 7E1P3 9 4 10 16 2 Low
7G1P3 8 4 15 20 5 High
7N1P3 6 12 9 26 2 Low
7Q1P3 5 3 16 19 2 Low
St. Croix 7 184 188 11 14 18 23 7G1P3 6 3 14 17 2 Low
7J1P3 8 9 73 60 2 Low
7L1P3 1 1 0 1 1 Low
7Q1P3 4 3 16 16 2 Low

Definitions

MSGC

Indicates the fuel model, slope class, grass type, and climate class. For example, 7L1P3 indicates the 1978 version of the fuel model L, slope class 1, perennial grass, and climate class 3.

Wind Speed (WS)

Wind speed measured at a height of 20 feet, averaged over a 10-minute period.

Woody Fuel Moisture (Woody FM)

Fuel moisture in live woody vegetation.

Herbaceous Fuel Moisture (Herb. FM)

Fuel moisture in live herbaceous vegetation.

Ignition Component (IC)

Ignition Component relates the probability that a fire requiring suppression action will result if a firebrand is introduced into a fine fuel complex. The ignition component can range from 0 when conditions are cool and damp, to 100 on days when the weather is dry and windy. Theoretically, on a day when the ignition component registers a 60, approximately 60% of all fire brands that come into contact with wildland fuels will require suppression action.

Spread Component (SC)

Spread Component (SC) is the forward rate of spread at the head of the fire in feet per minute in a given fuel model. The inputs required to calculate the SC are wind speed, slope, fine fuel moisture (including the effects of green herbaceous plants), and the moisture content of the foliage and twigs of living, woody plants.

Energy Release Component (ERC)

Energy Release Component is a calculated field which provides a relative index of the amount of heat (in BTUs) per unit area (ft2) within the flaming front at the head of a fire. The ERC is very sensitive to fuel model characteristics - loading, compaction, particle size, heat of combustion and mineral content. The condition of the larger fuels has a greater influence on the ERC than the finer fuels. The scale for ERC values is open ended.

Burning Index (BI)

Burning Index relates the potential amount of effort needed to contain a single fire in a particular fuel type. Dividing Burning Index by 10 gives an approximate estimate of flame length in feet at the head of a fire. Burning Index is fuel model dependent.

1/10/100/1000-Hour Fuel Moisture

Dead fuel moisture content in fuel that takes the given number of hours to lose or gain 63% of the difference between the dead fuel itself and the surrounding atmosphere.

Staffing Level (SL)