Forecast National Fire Danger Rating System indexes

Forecast for 13:00 2016-05-24

**Local agency personnel should contact MIFC Fire Intelligence if errors or omissions are observed.**

Station WS Woody FM Herb. FM 1-Hr FM 10-Hr FM 100-Hr FM 1000-Hr FM MSGC IC SC ERC BI SL Rating
Agassiz 8 117 107 6 9 14 18 7G1P3 22 6 32 34 5 Very High
7L1P3 15 17 1 11 2 Low
7Q1P3 22 12 32 46 3 Moderate
Badoura 4 110 88 6 11 13 15 7G1P3 17 4 39 29 5 High
7J1P3 20 7 138 73 3 Moderate
7L1P3 12 11 2 13 2 Low
7Q1P3 17 7 35 38 4 Moderate
Baudette 5 101 59 6 11 13 15 7G1P3 19 5 39 34 5 High
7J1P3 20 9 133 77 3 Moderate
7L1P3 18 26 3 21 2 Low
7Q1P3 19 10 37 46 4 Moderate
Bigstone 6 128 110 6 10 13 17 7G1P3 20 4 35 30 5 Very High
7L1P3 12 9 1 8 1 Low
Brainerd 3 116 118 6 11 12 16 7E1P3 13 2 16 15 2 Low
7G1P3 13 2 38 24 5 High
7L1P3 4 2 0 3 1 Low
7Q1P3 13 5 31 29 3 Moderate
Camp Ripley/Little Falls 2 120 113 7 11 12 16 7G1P3 11 2 37 22 5 High
7J1P3 14 5 133 57 2 Low
7L1P3 4 1 0 3 1 Low
7Q1P3 10 3 30 25 3 Moderate
Station WS Woody FM Herb. FM 1-Hr FM 10-Hr FM 100-Hr FM 1000-Hr FM MSGC IC SC ERC BI SL Rating
Carlos Avery 2 136 117 9 17 15 18 7G1P3 7 2 27 18 5 High
7L1P3 2 1 0 2 1 Low
7N1P3 6 7 10 21 2 Low
7Q1P3 4 1 19 13 3 Moderate
Cass Lake 4 112 94 6 11 12 15 7C1P3 13 3 7 11 5 High
7G1P3 16 3 39 29 2 Low
7N1P3 15 17 17 41 4 Moderate
7Q1P3 16 7 34 37 2 Low
Detroit Lakes 8 107 97 6 10 11 15 7G1P3 22 7 43 40 5 Very High
7L1P3 17 23 2 16 2 Low
7Q1P3 23 13 36 51 4 High
Ely 3 70 9 9 12 11 14 7G1P3 10 3 42 30 3 Moderate
7I1P3 10 8 221 91 2 Low
7Q1P3 12 9 39 45 3 Moderate
Hibbing 3 99 70 8 12 12 15 7G1P3 10 3 39 27 5 High
7J1P3 11 5 125 59 4 Moderate
7L1P3 8 11 2 12 1 Low
7Q1P3 11 6 33 35 4 Moderate
Kittson 10 94 65 6 10 12 14 7E1P3 31 11 19 36 3 Moderate
7G1P3 27 10 43 49 5 Very High
7L1P3 27 59 2 30 3 Moderate
7Q1P3 27 21 40 66 4 High
Station WS Woody FM Herb. FM 1-Hr FM 10-Hr FM 100-Hr FM 1000-Hr FM MSGC IC SC ERC BI SL Rating
Litchfield 2 135 114 7 11 12 18 7G1P3 10 2 32 20 5 High
7L1P3 3 1 0 2 1 Low
7N1P3 8 8 15 27 2 Low
MN Valley 2 136 108 9 16 14 18 7E1P3 7 1 12 12 2 Low
7G1P3 7 2 28 18 5 High
7N1P3 6 7 10 22 2 Low
7Q1P3 4 1 20 14 3 Moderate
Moose Lake 4 117 114 8 16 14 16 7E1P3 11 2 13 15 2 Low
7G1P3 10 3 33 24 5 High
7L1P3 4 3 0 3 1 Low
7Q1P3 8 4 22 22 3 Moderate
Mora 2 129 131 9 16 15 17 7G1P3 7 2 29 18 5 High
7L1P3 2 1 0 2 1 Low
7Q1P3 4 1 20 14 3 Moderate
Rice Lake 3 123 123 8 16 14 16 7G1P3 10 2 32 21 5 High
7L1P3 3 2 0 2 1 Low
7N1P3 10 12 12 29 2 Low
7Q1P3 7 2 21 18 3 Moderate
Roseau 8 94 54 6 10 12 14 7E1P3 29 9 20 33 3 Moderate
7G1P3 25 8 44 45 5 Very High
7L1P3 26 51 3 29 3 Moderate
7Q1P3 26 17 41 61 4 High
Station WS Woody FM Herb. FM 1-Hr FM 10-Hr FM 100-Hr FM 1000-Hr FM MSGC IC SC ERC BI SL Rating
Seagull Lake 4 70 8 8 11 11 15 7G1P3 13 4 43 33 4 Moderate
7I1P3 13 10 230 103 3 Moderate
7Q1P3 15 12 41 51 4 Moderate
Sherburne 2 133 120 8 12 12 18 7E1P3 9 1 14 12 2 Low
7G1P3 9 2 32 20 5 High
7N1P3 8 8 14 26 2 Low
7Q1P3 7 2 26 18 3 Moderate
St. Croix 3 129 138 8 16 15 17 7G1P3 9 2 29 20 3 Moderate
7J1P3 12 5 101 54 2 Low
7L1P3 3 1 0 2 1 Low
7Q1P3 6 2 20 16 3 Moderate

Definitions

MSGC

Indicates the fuel model, slope class, grass type, and climate class. For example, 7L1P3 indicates the 1978 version of the fuel model L, slope class 1, perennial grass, and climate class 3.

Wind Speed (WS)

Wind speed measured at a height of 20 feet, averaged over a 10-minute period.

Woody Fuel Moisture (Woody FM)

Fuel moisture in live woody vegetation.

Herbaceous Fuel Moisture (Herb. FM)

Fuel moisture in live herbaceous vegetation.

Ignition Component (IC)

Ignition Component relates the probability that a fire requiring suppression action will result if a firebrand is introduced into a fine fuel complex. The ignition component can range from 0 when conditions are cool and damp, to 100 on days when the weather is dry and windy. Theoretically, on a day when the ignition component registers a 60, approximately 60% of all fire brands that come into contact with wildland fuels will require suppression action.

Spread Component (SC)

Spread Component (SC) is the forward rate of spread at the head of the fire in feet per minute in a given fuel model. The inputs required to calculate the SC are wind speed, slope, fine fuel moisture (including the effects of green herbaceous plants), and the moisture content of the foliage and twigs of living, woody plants.

Energy Release Component (ERC)

Energy Release Component is a calculated field which provides a relative index of the amount of heat (in BTUs) per unit area (ft2) within the flaming front at the head of a fire. The ERC is very sensitive to fuel model characteristics - loading, compaction, particle size, heat of combustion and mineral content. The condition of the larger fuels has a greater influence on the ERC than the finer fuels. The scale for ERC values is open ended.

Burning Index (BI)

Burning Index relates the potential amount of effort needed to contain a single fire in a particular fuel type. Dividing Burning Index by 10 gives an approximate estimate of flame length in feet at the head of a fire. Burning Index is fuel model dependent.

1/10/100/1000-Hour Fuel Moisture

Dead fuel moisture content in fuel that takes the given number of hours to lose or gain 63% of the difference between the dead fuel itself and the surrounding atmosphere.

Staffing Level (SL)