Forecast National Fire Danger Rating System indexes

Forecast for 13:00 2016-07-27

**Local agency personnel should contact MIFC Fire Intelligence if errors or omissions are observed.**

Station WS Woody FM Herb. FM 1-Hr FM 10-Hr FM 100-Hr FM 1000-Hr FM MSGC IC SC ERC BI SL Rating
Agassiz 9 157 160 9 11 16 20 7G1P3 11 5 23 26 5 High
7L1P3 17 61 2 28 3 Moderate
7Q1P3 11 9 26 38 3 Moderate
Badoura 5 154 122 11 14 16 20 7G1P3 5 3 22 20 5 High
7J1P3 7 7 86 56 2 Low
7L1P3 1 1 0 1 1 Low
7Q1P3 3 2 18 16 3 Moderate
Baudette 7 141 101 8 11 14 18 7G1P3 13 5 29 29 5 High
7J1P3 15 10 114 77 3 Moderate
7L1P3 8 12 1 8 1 Low
7Q1P3 9 5 25 29 3 Moderate
Bigstone 9 134 98 12 13 16 18 7G1P3 6 6 27 31 5 High
7L1P3 2 3 0 3 1 Low
Brainerd 5 151 135 12 14 15 20 7E1P3 4 2 10 13 2 Low
7G1P3 4 3 23 20 5 High
7L1P3 1 1 0 1 1 Low
7Q1P3 3 2 18 17 2 Low
Camp Ripley/Little Falls 5 152 124 14 14 16 20 7G1P3 2 3 21 19 5 High
7J1P3 3 6 79 51 2 Low
7L1P3 0 0 0 0 1 Low
7Q1P3 1 2 17 16 2 Low
Station WS Woody FM Herb. FM 1-Hr FM 10-Hr FM 100-Hr FM 1000-Hr FM MSGC IC SC ERC BI SL Rating
Carlos Avery 5 139 104 11 12 15 18 7G1P3 6 3 26 23 5 High
7L1P3 3 4 0 3 1 Low
7N1P3 6 15 11 31 2 Low
7Q1P3 4 3 21 19 3 Moderate
Cass Lake 5 145 112 9 13 14 19 7C1P3 4 1 3 4 2 Low
7G1P3 8 3 27 23 1 Low
7N1P3 8 15 12 33 3 Moderate
7Q1P3 5 2 22 19 1 Low
Detroit Lakes 7 157 118 11 13 16 20 7G1P3 7 4 22 23 5 High
7L1P3 8 36 1 18 2 Low
7Q1P3 5 4 22 24 3 Moderate
Ely 4 154 154 9 13 16 20 7G1P3 7 2 22 18 3 Moderate
7I1P3 9 9 154 83 2 Low
7Q1P3 4 2 19 16 2 Low
Hibbing 6 148 118 11 14 15 19 7G1P3 7 3 24 23 5 High
7J1P3 8 8 92 62 3 Moderate
7L1P3 2 2 0 2 1 Low
7Q1P3 4 3 19 19 3 Moderate
Kittson 8 159 127 9 11 15 20 7E1P3 11 4 12 19 2 Low
7G1P3 10 4 23 25 5 High
7L1P3 2 2 0 2 1 Low
7Q1P3 6 3 21 22 3 Moderate
Station WS Woody FM Herb. FM 1-Hr FM 10-Hr FM 100-Hr FM 1000-Hr FM MSGC IC SC ERC BI SL Rating
Litchfield 4 144 130 15 12 16 19 7G1P3 2 2 23 18 5 High
7L1P3 0 0 0 0 1 Low
7N1P3 1 5 7 17 1 Low
MN Valley 4 138 91 11 13 16 18 7E1P3 6 3 12 15 2 Low
7G1P3 6 3 27 22 5 High
7N1P3 5 12 11 28 2 Low
7Q1P3 4 2 21 18 3 Moderate
Moose Lake 7 159 135 11 14 16 20 7E1P3 6 3 10 15 2 Low
7G1P3 6 4 21 22 5 High
7L1P3 1 1 0 1 1 Low
7Q1P3 4 3 17 18 3 Moderate
Mora 5 151 127 11 14 16 20 7G1P3 6 3 23 20 5 High
7L1P3 1 1 0 2 1 Low
7Q1P3 4 2 18 17 3 Moderate
Rice Lake 6 165 146 11 14 16 21 7G1P3 6 3 20 20 5 High
7L1P3 1 1 0 1 1 Low
7N1P3 5 10 9 24 2 Low
7Q1P3 4 2 18 17 3 Moderate
Roseau 7 149 111 9 11 15 19 7E1P3 12 4 13 19 2 Low
7G1P3 11 4 26 26 5 High
7L1P3 4 3 0 3 1 Low
7Q1P3 7 3 23 22 3 Moderate
Station WS Woody FM Herb. FM 1-Hr FM 10-Hr FM 100-Hr FM 1000-Hr FM MSGC IC SC ERC BI SL Rating
Seagull Lake 2 148 159 9 12 15 19 7G1P3 6 2 26 16 3 Moderate
7I1P3 9 6 175 74 2 Low
7Q1P3 4 1 22 14 2 Low
Sherburne 4 148 119 13 13 16 19 7E1P3 3 2 9 12 2 Low
7G1P3 3 2 23 19 5 High
7N1P3 2 7 9 20 1 Low
7Q1P3 2 2 18 15 3 Moderate
St. Croix 6 157 133 12 14 17 20 7G1P3 5 3 21 20 3 Moderate
7J1P3 7 8 83 59 2 Low
7L1P3 1 1 0 1 1 Low
7Q1P3 3 3 17 17 3 Moderate

Definitions

MSGC

Indicates the fuel model, slope class, grass type, and climate class. For example, 7L1P3 indicates the 1978 version of the fuel model L, slope class 1, perennial grass, and climate class 3.

Wind Speed (WS)

Wind speed measured at a height of 20 feet, averaged over a 10-minute period.

Woody Fuel Moisture (Woody FM)

Fuel moisture in live woody vegetation.

Herbaceous Fuel Moisture (Herb. FM)

Fuel moisture in live herbaceous vegetation.

Ignition Component (IC)

Ignition Component relates the probability that a fire requiring suppression action will result if a firebrand is introduced into a fine fuel complex. The ignition component can range from 0 when conditions are cool and damp, to 100 on days when the weather is dry and windy. Theoretically, on a day when the ignition component registers a 60, approximately 60% of all fire brands that come into contact with wildland fuels will require suppression action.

Spread Component (SC)

Spread Component (SC) is the forward rate of spread at the head of the fire in feet per minute in a given fuel model. The inputs required to calculate the SC are wind speed, slope, fine fuel moisture (including the effects of green herbaceous plants), and the moisture content of the foliage and twigs of living, woody plants.

Energy Release Component (ERC)

Energy Release Component is a calculated field which provides a relative index of the amount of heat (in BTUs) per unit area (ft2) within the flaming front at the head of a fire. The ERC is very sensitive to fuel model characteristics - loading, compaction, particle size, heat of combustion and mineral content. The condition of the larger fuels has a greater influence on the ERC than the finer fuels. The scale for ERC values is open ended.

Burning Index (BI)

Burning Index relates the potential amount of effort needed to contain a single fire in a particular fuel type. Dividing Burning Index by 10 gives an approximate estimate of flame length in feet at the head of a fire. Burning Index is fuel model dependent.

1/10/100/1000-Hour Fuel Moisture

Dead fuel moisture content in fuel that takes the given number of hours to lose or gain 63% of the difference between the dead fuel itself and the surrounding atmosphere.

Staffing Level (SL)