Forecast National Fire Danger Rating System indexes

Forecast for 13:00 2016-05-02

**Local agency personnel should contact MIFC Fire Intelligence if errors or omissions are observed.**

Station WS Woody FM Herb. FM 1-Hr FM 10-Hr FM 100-Hr FM 1000-Hr FM MSGC IC SC ERC BI SL Rating
Agassiz 5 70 6 6 8 12 19 7G1P3 21 6 33 34 5 Very High
7L1P3 21 34 4 29 3 Moderate
7Q1P3 24 15 46 61 5 Very High
Badoura 2 70 6 6 9 12 17 7G1P3 15 3 37 28 5 High
7J1P3 15 5 141 61 2 Low
7L1P3 12 13 4 18 2 Low
7Q1P3 17 8 45 45 5 High
Baudette 4 70 6 6 7 12 18 7G1P3 20 5 37 33 5 Very High
7J1P3 21 8 149 77 3 Moderate
7L1P3 19 26 4 26 3 Moderate
7Q1P3 23 13 48 57 5 Very High
Bigstone 2 102 61 6 9 16 23 7G1P3 15 3 21 20 5 High
7L1P3 11 10 3 14 2 Low
Brainerd 4 96 58 6 9 12 21 7E1P3 20 4 21 24 2 Low
7G1P3 18 4 29 28 5 High
7L1P3 16 20 3 19 2 Low
7Q1P3 19 9 40 45 4 Moderate
Camp Ripley/Little Falls 1 96 58 6 10 14 21 7G1P3 12 2 26 20 5 High
7J1P3 12 4 120 49 2 Low
7L1P3 8 7 3 11 2 Low
7Q1P3 11 4 36 30 4 Moderate
Station WS Woody FM Herb. FM 1-Hr FM 10-Hr FM 100-Hr FM 1000-Hr FM MSGC IC SC ERC BI SL Rating
Carlos Avery 2 96 52 7 10 15 21 7G1P3 13 3 26 22 5 High
7L1P3 10 11 3 14 2 Low
7N1P3 10 10 18 34 3 Moderate
7Q1P3 13 6 35 35 4 Moderate
Cass Lake 3 70 5 5 8 12 21 7C1P3 20 5 15 22 5 Very High
7G1P3 19 4 30 28 2 Low
7N1P3 17 19 22 49 5 High
7Q1P3 21 10 46 51 3 Moderate
Detroit Lakes 3 92 49 6 8 13 19 7G1P3 17 4 32 27 5 High
7L1P3 15 17 3 19 2 Low
7Q1P3 18 8 41 43 5 High
Ely 4 70 6 6 8 12 18 7G1P3 20 5 36 33 3 Moderate
7I1P3 20 11 235 114 3 Moderate
7Q1P3 22 13 45 56 4 High
Hibbing 3 70 5 5 9 13 19 7G1P3 19 4 33 29 5 High
7J1P3 19 6 136 67 4 Moderate
7L1P3 17 19 4 23 2 Low
7Q1P3 21 10 44 50 5 Very High
Kittson 5 70 5 5 7 11 17 7E1P3 27 7 24 31 3 Moderate
7G1P3 24 6 40 38 5 Very High
7L1P3 23 35 4 30 3 Moderate
7Q1P3 27 15 49 63 5 Very High
Station WS Woody FM Herb. FM 1-Hr FM 10-Hr FM 100-Hr FM 1000-Hr FM MSGC IC SC ERC BI SL Rating
Litchfield 2 96 53 7 9 15 21 7G1P3 12 3 26 22 5 High
7L1P3 10 11 3 14 2 Low
7N1P3 10 10 19 34 2 Low
MN Valley 2 95 49 7 10 16 20 7E1P3 12 3 19 18 3 Moderate
7G1P3 12 3 26 22 5 High
7N1P3 9 10 18 33 2 Low
7Q1P3 12 6 34 34 4 Moderate
Moose Lake 2 88 43 6 9 13 18 7E1P3 15 3 21 20 2 Low
7G1P3 14 3 35 26 5 High
7L1P3 11 12 3 16 2 Low
7Q1P3 14 6 41 39 5 High
Mora 1 95 57 7 10 13 20 7G1P3 11 2 28 20 5 High
7L1P3 8 7 2 11 2 Low
7Q1P3 11 4 36 30 4 Moderate
Redstn 4 102 66 7 9 20 23 7G1P3 14 4 17 21 5 High
7L1P3 12 17 2 16 2 Low
Rice Lake 3 94 57 6 9 13 20 7G1P3 16 4 29 25 5 High
7L1P3 13 15 3 17 2 Low
7N1P3 13 15 19 41 2 Low
7Q1P3 16 7 38 40 4 Moderate
Station WS Woody FM Herb. FM 1-Hr FM 10-Hr FM 100-Hr FM 1000-Hr FM MSGC IC SC ERC BI SL Rating
Roseau 5 70 6 6 9 11 18 7E1P3 26 6 23 30 3 Moderate
7G1P3 22 6 37 36 5 Very High
7L1P3 22 34 4 29 3 Moderate
7Q1P3 25 15 46 61 5 Very High
Seagull Lake 3 70 6 6 8 13 18 7G1P3 17 4 35 29 3 Moderate
7I1P3 17 9 230 102 2 Low
7Q1P3 19 10 44 50 4 Moderate
Sherburne 1 98 57 7 10 15 22 7E1P3 11 2 19 16 2 Low
7G1P3 11 2 24 19 5 High
7N1P3 8 7 18 28 2 Low
7Q1P3 11 4 34 30 4 Moderate
St. Croix 2 96 61 6 9 13 21 7G1P3 14 3 28 22 3 Moderate
7J1P3 15 5 127 57 2 Low
7L1P3 10 10 3 14 2 Low
7Q1P3 14 6 38 35 4 Moderate

Definitions

MSGC

Indicates the fuel model, slope class, grass type, and climate class. For example, 7L1P3 indicates the 1978 version of the fuel model L, slope class 1, perennial grass, and climate class 3.

Wind Speed (WS)

Wind speed measured at a height of 20 feet, averaged over a 10-minute period.

Woody Fuel Moisture (Woody FM)

Fuel moisture in live woody vegetation.

Herbaceous Fuel Moisture (Herb. FM)

Fuel moisture in live herbaceous vegetation.

Ignition Component (IC)

Ignition Component relates the probability that a fire requiring suppression action will result if a firebrand is introduced into a fine fuel complex. The ignition component can range from 0 when conditions are cool and damp, to 100 on days when the weather is dry and windy. Theoretically, on a day when the ignition component registers a 60, approximately 60% of all fire brands that come into contact with wildland fuels will require suppression action.

Spread Component (SC)

Spread Component (SC) is the forward rate of spread at the head of the fire in feet per minute in a given fuel model. The inputs required to calculate the SC are wind speed, slope, fine fuel moisture (including the effects of green herbaceous plants), and the moisture content of the foliage and twigs of living, woody plants.

Energy Release Component (ERC)

Energy Release Component is a calculated field which provides a relative index of the amount of heat (in BTUs) per unit area (ft2) within the flaming front at the head of a fire. The ERC is very sensitive to fuel model characteristics - loading, compaction, particle size, heat of combustion and mineral content. The condition of the larger fuels has a greater influence on the ERC than the finer fuels. The scale for ERC values is open ended.

Burning Index (BI)

Burning Index relates the potential amount of effort needed to contain a single fire in a particular fuel type. Dividing Burning Index by 10 gives an approximate estimate of flame length in feet at the head of a fire. Burning Index is fuel model dependent.

1/10/100/1000-Hour Fuel Moisture

Dead fuel moisture content in fuel that takes the given number of hours to lose or gain 63% of the difference between the dead fuel itself and the surrounding atmosphere.

Staffing Level (SL)