Forecast National Fire Danger Rating System indexes

Forecast for 13:00 2017-09-23

**Local agency personnel should contact MIFC Fire Intelligence if errors or omissions are observed.**

Station WS Woody FM Herb. FM 1-Hr FM 10-Hr FM 100-Hr FM 1000-Hr FM MSGC IC SC ERC BI SL Rating
Agassiz 8 153 92 14 17 18 20 7G1P3 3 5 19 24 5 High
7L1P3 0 1 0 1 1 Low
7Q1P3 2 4 14 19 2 Low
Badoura 5 162 114 15 14 18 21 7G1P3 2 3 17 17 5 High
7J1P3 2 6 67 47 2 Low
7L1P3 0 0 0 0 1 Low
7Q1P3 1 2 14 14 2 Low
Baudette 8 163 102 13 16 19 21 7G1P3 4 4 17 22 5 High
7J1P3 4 9 64 57 3 Moderate
7L1P3 0 1 0 1 1 Low
7Q1P3 2 3 14 18 2 Low
Bigstone 9 148 100 15 21 18 19 7G1P3 2 5 18 24 5 High
7L1P3 0 0 0 0 1 Low
Brainerd 5 164 111 14 15 19 21 7E1P3 3 2 8 12 1 Low
7G1P3 3 3 17 17 5 High
7L1P3 0 1 0 1 1 Low
7Q1P3 2 2 14 15 2 Low
Camp Ripley/Little Falls 5 164 112 13 14 19 21 7G1P3 3 3 17 17 5 High
7J1P3 4 6 70 49 2 Low
7L1P3 0 1 0 1 1 Low
7Q1P3 2 2 15 15 2 Low
Station WS Woody FM Herb. FM 1-Hr FM 10-Hr FM 100-Hr FM 1000-Hr FM MSGC IC SC ERC BI SL Rating
Carlos Avery 6 152 97 10 11 16 20 7G1P3 8 4 24 24 5 High
7L1P3 4 6 0 4 1 Low
7N1P3 7 16 12 34 3 Moderate
7Q1P3 5 3 22 20 3 Moderate
Cass Lake 6 159 119 15 17 18 20 7C1P3 1 1 1 2 1 Low
7G1P3 2 3 17 18 3 Moderate
7N1P3 1 8 6 17 1 Low
7Q1P3 1 2 13 15 1 Low
Detroit Lakes 7 147 82 18 17 18 19 7G1P3 0 4 18 21 5 High
7L1P3 0 0 0 0 1 Low
7Q1P3 0 3 12 16 2 Low
Ely 6 192 220 13 15 20 24 7G1P3 3 2 11 13 2 Low
7I1P3 4 11 99 74 2 Low
7Q1P3 2 2 13 14 1 Low
Hibbing 6 191 150 14 15 20 24 7G1P3 2 3 10 14 5 High
7J1P3 3 7 55 46 2 Low
7L1P3 0 0 0 0 1 Low
7Q1P3 1 2 12 13 2 Low
Kittson 9 152 79 14 16 19 20 7E1P3 4 6 9 19 2 Low
7G1P3 4 6 19 26 5 High
7L1P3 1 2 0 2 1 Low
7Q1P3 2 4 14 20 2 Low
Station WS Woody FM Herb. FM 1-Hr FM 10-Hr FM 100-Hr FM 1000-Hr FM MSGC IC SC ERC BI SL Rating
Litchfield 6 148 95 12 14 18 19 7G1P3 5 4 22 23 5 High
7L1P3 2 3 0 3 1 Low
7N1P3 4 12 9 25 2 Low
MN Valley 7 140 89 10 12 16 18 7E1P3 10 5 13 20 3 Moderate
7G1P3 9 5 27 28 5 High
7N1P3 9 23 12 39 2 Low
7Q1P3 6 4 22 23 3 Moderate
Moose Lake 5 176 142 14 16 20 22 7E1P3 3 2 7 11 1 Low
7G1P3 3 2 13 15 5 High
7L1P3 0 0 0 0 1 Low
7Q1P3 2 2 12 13 2 Low
Mora 6 160 121 11 13 18 21 7G1P3 6 3 19 20 5 High
7L1P3 1 1 0 1 1 Low
7Q1P3 4 3 17 17 2 Low
Redstn 7 150 102 13 21 17 19 7G1P3 5 4 19 22 5 High
7L1P3 1 2 0 2 1 Low
Rice Lake 5 173 129 14 16 20 22 7G1P3 2 2 14 15 5 High
7L1P3 0 0 0 0 1 Low
7N1P3 1 6 6 16 1 Low
7Q1P3 1 2 12 13 2 Low
Station WS Woody FM Herb. FM 1-Hr FM 10-Hr FM 100-Hr FM 1000-Hr FM MSGC IC SC ERC BI SL Rating
Roseau 8 154 82 15 17 19 20 7E1P3 3 5 8 16 2 Low
7G1P3 3 5 18 23 5 High
7L1P3 0 0 0 0 1 Low
7Q1P3 1 4 13 18 2 Low
Seagull Lake 5 189 240 12 16 19 24 7G1P3 3 2 12 13 2 Low
7I1P3 5 9 100 70 2 Low
7Q1P3 2 2 13 13 2 Low
Sherburne 6 154 107 11 13 18 20 7E1P3 7 3 11 16 2 Low
7G1P3 6 3 21 22 5 High
7N1P3 5 14 10 28 2 Low
7Q1P3 4 3 18 18 3 Moderate
St. Croix 6 160 115 12 14 19 21 7G1P3 6 3 18 20 3 Moderate
7J1P3 7 8 75 56 2 Low
7L1P3 1 2 0 2 1 Low
7Q1P3 3 3 16 17 2 Low

Definitions

MSGC

Indicates the fuel model, slope class, grass type, and climate class. For example, 7L1P3 indicates the 1978 version of the fuel model L, slope class 1, perennial grass, and climate class 3.

Wind Speed (WS)

Wind speed measured at a height of 20 feet, averaged over a 10-minute period.

Woody Fuel Moisture (Woody FM)

Fuel moisture in live woody vegetation.

Herbaceous Fuel Moisture (Herb. FM)

Fuel moisture in live herbaceous vegetation.

Ignition Component (IC)

Ignition Component relates the probability that a fire requiring suppression action will result if a firebrand is introduced into a fine fuel complex. The ignition component can range from 0 when conditions are cool and damp, to 100 on days when the weather is dry and windy. Theoretically, on a day when the ignition component registers a 60, approximately 60% of all fire brands that come into contact with wildland fuels will require suppression action.

Spread Component (SC)

Spread Component (SC) is the forward rate of spread at the head of the fire in feet per minute in a given fuel model. The inputs required to calculate the SC are wind speed, slope, fine fuel moisture (including the effects of green herbaceous plants), and the moisture content of the foliage and twigs of living, woody plants.

Energy Release Component (ERC)

Energy Release Component is a calculated field which provides a relative index of the amount of heat (in BTUs) per unit area (ft2) within the flaming front at the head of a fire. The ERC is very sensitive to fuel model characteristics - loading, compaction, particle size, heat of combustion and mineral content. The condition of the larger fuels has a greater influence on the ERC than the finer fuels. The scale for ERC values is open ended.

Burning Index (BI)

Burning Index relates the potential amount of effort needed to contain a single fire in a particular fuel type. Dividing Burning Index by 10 gives an approximate estimate of flame length in feet at the head of a fire. Burning Index is fuel model dependent.

1/10/100/1000-Hour Fuel Moisture

Dead fuel moisture content in fuel that takes the given number of hours to lose or gain 63% of the difference between the dead fuel itself and the surrounding atmosphere.

Staffing Level (SL)