Forecast National Fire Danger Rating System indexes

Forecast for 13:00 2017-07-22

**Local agency personnel should contact MIFC Fire Intelligence if errors or omissions are observed.**

Station WS Woody FM Herb. FM 1-Hr FM 10-Hr FM 100-Hr FM 1000-Hr FM MSGC IC SC ERC BI SL Rating
Agassiz 11 133 91 10 14 15 18 7G1P3 11 8 28 36 5 High
7L1P3 7 19 1 9 1 Low
7Q1P3 7 6 21 28 3 Moderate
Badoura 10 132 97 9 12 14 17 7G1P3 13 7 30 35 5 High
7J1P3 15 14 109 87 3 Moderate
7L1P3 8 18 1 9 1 Low
7Q1P3 10 8 24 33 3 Moderate
Baudette 9 138 92 11 13 14 18 7G1P3 9 6 28 32 5 High
7J1P3 11 12 102 78 3 Moderate
7L1P3 5 10 0 6 1 Low
7Q1P3 6 5 22 25 3 Moderate
Bigstone 12 121 88 7 12 16 16 7G1P3 27 10 33 44 5 Very High
7L1P3 23 45 2 23 3 Moderate
Brainerd 7 140 98 10 13 16 18 7E1P3 11 4 13 19 2 Low
7G1P3 10 5 27 27 5 High
7L1P3 4 6 0 5 1 Low
7Q1P3 6 4 21 22 3 Moderate
Camp Ripley/Little Falls 7 138 98 10 13 16 18 7G1P3 9 4 26 27 5 High
7J1P3 11 9 94 68 3 Moderate
7L1P3 4 5 0 4 1 Low
7Q1P3 5 4 20 21 3 Moderate
Station WS Woody FM Herb. FM 1-Hr FM 10-Hr FM 100-Hr FM 1000-Hr FM MSGC IC SC ERC BI SL Rating
Carlos Avery 5 149 106 11 15 17 19 7G1P3 5 3 22 20 5 High
7L1P3 2 3 0 2 1 Low
7N1P3 4 10 9 24 2 Low
7Q1P3 3 2 17 17 2 Low
Cass Lake 8 129 110 9 12 14 17 7C1P3 6 1 3 6 3 Moderate
7G1P3 12 5 31 31 2 Low
7N1P3 12 30 13 47 5 High
7Q1P3 8 5 23 27 2 Low
Detroit Lakes 12 133 82 10 13 15 18 7G1P3 14 9 29 39 5 High
7L1P3 12 41 1 18 2 Low
7Q1P3 11 10 23 37 3 Moderate
Ely 5 174 191 12 12 14 22 7G1P3 4 2 19 17 2 Low
7I1P3 5 10 146 84 2 Low
7Q1P3 2 2 19 16 2 Low
Hibbing 6 142 122 12 14 15 19 7G1P3 5 3 25 23 5 High
7J1P3 6 8 89 60 3 Moderate
7L1P3 1 1 0 1 1 Low
7Q1P3 3 3 18 18 3 Moderate
Kittson 13 136 83 11 14 15 18 7E1P3 13 10 12 28 3 Moderate
7G1P3 11 10 28 39 5 High
7L1P3 8 33 1 13 1 Low
7Q1P3 7 7 21 30 3 Moderate
Station WS Woody FM Herb. FM 1-Hr FM 10-Hr FM 100-Hr FM 1000-Hr FM MSGC IC SC ERC BI SL Rating
Litchfield 7 128 88 10 13 17 17 7G1P3 10 5 29 29 5 High
7L1P3 8 19 1 11 2 Low
7N1P3 9 25 11 41 2 Low
MN Valley 6 136 99 11 14 18 18 7E1P3 9 4 12 17 2 Low
7G1P3 8 4 25 25 5 High
7N1P3 8 19 10 34 2 Low
7Q1P3 5 3 19 20 3 Moderate
Moose Lake 2 154 132 12 14 16 20 7E1P3 3 1 10 9 1 Low
7G1P3 3 2 21 15 5 High
7L1P3 1 1 0 1 1 Low
7Q1P3 2 1 17 12 3 Moderate
Mora 4 145 116 12 14 16 19 7G1P3 5 2 24 19 5 High
7L1P3 1 2 0 2 1 Low
7Q1P3 3 2 18 16 3 Moderate
Redstn 11 128 91 7 11 17 17 7G1P3 25 9 31 40 5 Very High
7L1P3 22 39 2 21 2 Moderate
Rice Lake 5 157 125 12 14 16 20 7G1P3 5 3 21 19 5 High
7L1P3 1 1 0 1 1 Low
7N1P3 4 9 9 22 1 Low
7Q1P3 3 2 17 16 3 Moderate
Station WS Woody FM Herb. FM 1-Hr FM 10-Hr FM 100-Hr FM 1000-Hr FM MSGC IC SC ERC BI SL Rating
Roseau 10 137 81 11 13 15 18 7E1P3 10 7 13 24 2 Low
7G1P3 9 7 28 34 5 High
7L1P3 8 34 1 14 2 Low
7Q1P3 6 5 22 27 3 Moderate
Seagull Lake 6 177 220 11 11 14 22 7G1P3 5 3 20 18 3 Moderate
7I1P3 8 12 157 95 2 Low
7Q1P3 3 2 21 18 2 Low
Sherburne 5 146 110 12 15 17 19 7E1P3 5 3 10 14 2 Low
7G1P3 5 3 22 21 5 High
7N1P3 4 11 8 24 2 Low
7Q1P3 3 2 17 16 3 Moderate
St. Croix 3 146 112 12 14 16 19 7G1P3 4 2 23 18 3 Moderate
7J1P3 5 4 86 47 2 Low
7L1P3 1 2 0 2 1 Low
7Q1P3 2 2 18 14 3 Moderate

Definitions

MSGC

Indicates the fuel model, slope class, grass type, and climate class. For example, 7L1P3 indicates the 1978 version of the fuel model L, slope class 1, perennial grass, and climate class 3.

Wind Speed (WS)

Wind speed measured at a height of 20 feet, averaged over a 10-minute period.

Woody Fuel Moisture (Woody FM)

Fuel moisture in live woody vegetation.

Herbaceous Fuel Moisture (Herb. FM)

Fuel moisture in live herbaceous vegetation.

Ignition Component (IC)

Ignition Component relates the probability that a fire requiring suppression action will result if a firebrand is introduced into a fine fuel complex. The ignition component can range from 0 when conditions are cool and damp, to 100 on days when the weather is dry and windy. Theoretically, on a day when the ignition component registers a 60, approximately 60% of all fire brands that come into contact with wildland fuels will require suppression action.

Spread Component (SC)

Spread Component (SC) is the forward rate of spread at the head of the fire in feet per minute in a given fuel model. The inputs required to calculate the SC are wind speed, slope, fine fuel moisture (including the effects of green herbaceous plants), and the moisture content of the foliage and twigs of living, woody plants.

Energy Release Component (ERC)

Energy Release Component is a calculated field which provides a relative index of the amount of heat (in BTUs) per unit area (ft2) within the flaming front at the head of a fire. The ERC is very sensitive to fuel model characteristics - loading, compaction, particle size, heat of combustion and mineral content. The condition of the larger fuels has a greater influence on the ERC than the finer fuels. The scale for ERC values is open ended.

Burning Index (BI)

Burning Index relates the potential amount of effort needed to contain a single fire in a particular fuel type. Dividing Burning Index by 10 gives an approximate estimate of flame length in feet at the head of a fire. Burning Index is fuel model dependent.

1/10/100/1000-Hour Fuel Moisture

Dead fuel moisture content in fuel that takes the given number of hours to lose or gain 63% of the difference between the dead fuel itself and the surrounding atmosphere.

Staffing Level (SL)